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2024-12-14 05:25:46

Peru's central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5%.Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.


Fitch: In 2025, the prospects of all segments of the US technology market are neutral. It is expected that the investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and the PC update cycle will promote the single-digit growth in the semiconductor segment.Economic Daily commentator's article: Keep prices at a reasonable level. The Economic Daily issued a document saying that it is foreseeable that the implementation of macro-policies will create a better monetary and financial environment for economic growth and price stability, and also help to accelerate the formation of a virtuous circle of mutual promotion of consumption and investment, and promote a higher level of dynamic balance between supply and demand. Price is the "thermometer" of macroeconomic operation, the "wind vane" of market allocation of resources, and the "baton" of micro-management. Too high or too low is not conducive to economic and social development. In the short term, the decline in price level will help reduce the burden on consumers. However, if the price level continues to run at a low level, enterprises will "increase their income without increasing their profits", and the "involution" competition will intensify, and the motivation for expanding investment will weaken, which will further reduce employment opportunities and slow down the growth of wage income. Too low a price level will also raise the real interest rate, which may inhibit economic activities.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.


The era of 5G-A is coming, and the head of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology revealed at the China 5G Development Conference held in Shanghai that China has completed the development goal of 5G construction in the 14th Five-Year Plan ahead of schedule. Zhang Yunming said that the 5G network has fully covered key hot spots such as government affairs centers, cultural tourism scenic spots and traffic trunk lines, and has been continuously expanding and deepening to remote rural areas. China's 5G technology industry has built a complete industrial chain covering communication chips, terminals, base station equipment, facilities and meters, and nearly 2,000 5G terminal products have been put on the market. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has held seven 5G application solicitation competitions, with more than 100,000 application cases, and 5G applications have been integrated into 80 of 97 national economic categories. According to the report of Global System for Mobile Communications (GSMA), the mobile ecosystem represented by 5G in China created about 8 million jobs in 2023.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.

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